‘Predictive Modeling’ shows relationship between consumption and provisioned speeds
Hoboken, NJ; February 11, 2020 – Median monthly usage by broadband subscribers in 2020 is on a trajectory to surpass 250 GB for the first time, according to the Q4 2019 OVBI (OpenVault Broadband Industry) report issued today by OpenVault, a leading provider of technology solutions and industry analytics for broadband operators.
Consistent with a correlation between broadband consumption and average provisioned speeds that has existed during OpenVault’s 10 years of analysis, the report notes that a 24.4% increase in average provisioned speed, from 103.1 Mbps to 128.3 Mbps, in 2019 was slightly outpaced by a 27.3% increase in average consumption, from 270.2 GB to 344 GB.
A median usage of 250 GB would represent a 24.9 % increase from the 2019 median of 190.7 GB. Using similarly historical factors for high volume subscribers, OpenVault expects that by the end of 2020 “power usage” of more than 1 TB per month will account for at least 12% of all subscribers, a 60% increase from EOY 2019, and that “extreme power usage” of more than 2TB will reach 1.4% of subscribers, an 80% increase from EOY 2019.
“These trends are critically important planning metrics for operators to consider,” especially those using slower DSL, early generation DOCSIS, or wireless-based platforms, the report notes. “As these operators upgrade their networks, they can use predictive modeling to better plan for the impact on their network. OpenVault has found that network operators who transition to FTTP or DOCSIS 3.1 see a doubling or more of bandwidth consumption as a result.”
The OVBI report continues to explore the business and operational impacts of shifting broadband trends and operator strategies for addressing significantly increased consumption. Most notably, it cites a case study that shows how a shift to usage based billing from flat rate plans resulted in a near-term ARPU increase of nearly 14%. The study notes that more than 40% of subscribers contacted about the UBB program opted to upgrade to higher-speed, higher-cost broadband tiers, and that only a small fraction – just 2.5% – were impacted by overage fees.
Overall, the Q4 2019 weighted average broadband usage in the United States was 344 GB, 27% more than the Q4 2018 average of 270.2 GB, while median usage rose 32% from 144.8 to 190.7 during the same period. “Power usage” continued to rise in Q4, with more than 7.2% of subscribers consuming more than 1TB per month (up 80% from Q4 2018) and “extreme power users” of more than 2 TB per month rising 123% to .76% of all subscribers. In Europe, average monthly usage rose 24%, from 158.7 GB to 196.3 GB, and median usage grew 31%, from 93 GB to 122.4 GB.
OpenVault will host a webinar to elaborate on the report on Tuesday, February 25 at 2 p.m. EST. Please go here to register.
The entire report is available at http://openvault.com/complimentary-report-Q419/.
OpenVault’s solution suite tracks broadband data usage consumption levels for millions of subscribers and helps operators across the globe better manage their networks, saving time and costs while increasing revenue and subscriber satisfaction. Network operators use OpenVault’s easy-to-use tools to dramatically improve visibility into their networks and automate management functions to proactively handle congestion, forecast network requirements, monetize broadband growth and communicate with subscribers. For more information, please visit openvault.com.
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